Forecast Engine
A 36-month forecast with a range on every line.
Forecast Engine is designed to build each line from your accounting data, how your customer groups have behaved and benchmarks for your stage, then show it as a likely path with the range around it.
Net subscriber growth 4% a month, price $19 a month, monthly churn 3%.
Month 36, 95% range $52k to $96k. Built from live actuals.
- MRR, month 12Range $25k to $33k as newer cohorts settle.$29k+60%P50
- Monthly churnNewer cohorts are churning less than the first year's.3.0%-0.4ptP50
- Gross marginPayment fees ease with volume, anchored to benchmarks.81%+2ptP50
- Cash runwayThe cautious case still clears month 20.26 moP50
Why a single forecast line breaks
Straight-line forecasts lie
A single confident line breaks the first month reality disagrees with it.
The board asks 'how sure are you?'
And you don't have a good answer beyond a gut feel.
Your numbers go stale fast
By the time the forecast is built, the actuals have already moved on.
Forecast with a range around every line
A revenue curve draws in with its confidence band across 36 months, so you can see the likely path and how wide the range is.
Choosing the number you give the board
Example: setting targets for the board
You don't want to over-promise, and you don't want to look timid. Forecast Engine is built to give every line a realistic range from your actuals, so you can say 'here's the likely path, and here's the downside we've planned for' and mean it.
- Built from your connected accounting and revenue data
- A confidence range on every line
- Ranges designed to tighten as new actuals land
Questions a forecast range answers
Questions a range answers better than a single line.
Forecasts that show a range, not one line
Updates with your actuals
Ranges are designed to narrow as each month of real data comes in.
Cohort-aware
Retention, expansion and churn modelled for each customer group instead of one blended average.
Benchmark-anchored
Designed to check growth, churn and margin assumptions against reference ranges for companies at a similar stage.
Confidence intervals
Every line comes with a 95% range, so you can see how sure the forecast is.
From connected actuals to a board-ready forecast
- Step 1
Connect actuals
Read-only connections to QuickBooks, Xero or Stripe are built to bring your actuals in.
- Step 2
Layer drivers
Add growth, retention, and capacity assumptions in plain English.
- Step 3
Run the projection
See each line month by month for the next 36 months.
- Step 4
Take it to the board
Charts are designed to carry the range, ready for your board pack or investor update.
Questions about forecast ranges
What does the range around each line mean?
Each line shows a middle estimate and a range around it. In the example above, the middle estimate for month-36 MRR is $74k, with a 95% range of $52k to $96k.
Where do the numbers come from?
It's designed to draw on your connected accounting and billing data, how your customer cohorts have actually behaved, and reference ranges for companies at a similar stage.
Will it improve over time?
It's designed to. In the example above, month-12 MRR runs from $25k to $33k while newer cohorts settle, and that range should narrow as more of their months come in.
Tools that build on your forecast
See all productsForecast with a range you can explain to your board
Connect your accounting and billing data and see a 36-month range for revenue and runway.